Gujarat economy is SEVERELY
Hit by Drought, Cultivation of Non Food Crops on 75% Cropped Area, Failure of
the Canal Irrigation when dams overflow and canal was run at 15% capacity to
50% these days, 10,0000 factories are closed and wasteful unproductive
investment on over designed Narmada Network, Excess Power Generation Capacity
as Vibrant Gujarat MOUs didn’t come up and Modi let Reliance Drill and take out
Oil & Gas from Deen Dayal Discoveries etc.
Monsoon is almost over – and
as per reports here – Gujarat suffered worst
drought in history when rainfall upto Janamashtami was barely 15% and 98mm in
Saurashtra that planted cotton on 1.386 million hectare 58% out of 2.375
million hectares for state. Area under cultivation too was down by 20% and 90%
of it was severely affected by drought conditions in June, July and first week
of August.
Overall state received just
22% rains up to August07 2012 and South Gujarat
received 391mm of rains but in second report contributes only 10% of cultivable
area. Heavy rains this month has caused more damage to whatever was growing and
second or third crop sown by farmers. But this has assured upcoming Rabi crop
will be at least average.
|
Year
|
Foodgrains
|
Oilseeds
|
Cotton
|
|
2007-08
|
8206.0
|
4725.0
|
8276.0
|
|
2008-09
|
6481.0
|
4015.9
|
7013.8
|
|
2009-10
|
6064.0
|
2990.0
|
7875.0
|
|
2010-11
|
7852.3
|
3911.9
|
10500.0
|
|
2011-12
|
9066.0
|
4931.0
|
12000.0
|
|
2012-13
|
5000.0
|
2000.0
|
5000.0
|
Thousand tones and thousand
bales of 170kg. for cotton
GDP loss due to food-grains
including pulses – Rs.8000 crores, Oilseeds loss of GDP including mill
production loss Rs.15,000 crores, Cotton GDP loss including ginning, Cotton
seed oil etc at Rs.50,000 per bale is Rs.35,000 crores. Loss of other crops
Rs.15000 crores = Rs.73,000 crores.
Fixed cost of excess power
capacity Rs.5000 crores.
Loss due to Closed 10,000
Factories – Rs.10,000 crores.
(When Industrial growth is
down in India it is minus in
Gujarat – heavily dependent on industry.)
Gujarat economy is down Rs.88,000 crores this year.
GDP loss of 10% to 15%.
Modi won last election in
Best Monsoon season – this is Worst Monsoon.
Modi can’t compensate 40
million people to have suffered this bad monsoon year when all its Canals,
Ponds, Check Dams etc were dry until a month ago.
Gujarat cultivated food-grains on less than 24% of Khariff
acreage.
Ravinder Singh
Inventor & Consultant
September16, 2012
